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Red111
761740.1
355920.8
317642.2
Blue81
394729.7
458024.3
856421.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123645010015011181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#11
42.20.2
45.045.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.4
End5.9
red by 12.5
3947
#20
29.70.9
26.127.0
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End5.9
Second
7617
#21
40.10.2
44.744.9
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
red by 15.8
4580
#23
24.30.9
18.019.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End6.1
Third
3559
#28
20.80.2
18.018.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
blue by 1.0
8564
#26
21.80.9
23.224.1
Auto6.9
Teleop7.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned