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Red97
172032.2
349442.3
458024.3
Blue133
4537.8
150147.8
745438.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011640608010014016018020097133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#10
42.30.6
40.140.7
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End8.3
blue by 5.5
47.81.5
42.844.3
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
Second
1720
#13
32.20.6
28.529.1
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End8.2
blue by 6.1
38.31.5
30.532.0
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End8.4
Third
4580
#23
24.30.6
19.019.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End6.1
blue by 13.5
45
#12
37.81.5
31.833.3
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned