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Red80
761740.1
719817.1
389019.2
Blue105
174139.5
448529.3
155527.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010120406012014016018080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#21
40.10.2
44.945.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
red by 0.6
39.50.5
39.439.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
Second
3890
#18
19.20.2
17.017.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7
blue by 10.1
4485
#14
29.30.5
29.730.2
Auto10.2
Teleop11.4
End7.8
Third
7198
#27
17.10.2
15.715.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End4.3
blue by 10.2
1555
#24
27.30.5
22.723.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed