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Red114
150147.8
82947.8
174139.5
Blue72
349442.3
719817.1
448529.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147845010020011472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.1
44.343.3
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
red by 5.5
3494
#10
42.32.1
40.738.6
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End8.3
Second
829
#15
47.81.1
47.646.5
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
red by 18.5
4485
#14
29.32.1
30.228.1
Auto10.2
Teleop11.4
End7.8
Third
39.51.1
39.938.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
red by 22.4
7198
#27
17.12.1
15.913.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed