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Red114
4537.8
317642.2
761740.1
Blue118
155527.3
548444.9
765742.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351056080120160180200114118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#11
42.20.6
44.343.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.4
End5.9
blue by 2.7
44.91.1
40.741.8
Auto15.9
Teleop21.2
End7.8
Second
7617
#21
40.10.6
45.144.5
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
blue by 2.1
42.21.1
38.139.2
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End6.2
Third
45
#12
37.80.6
33.332.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End8.8
red by 10.6
1555
#24
27.31.1
23.224.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned