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Red111
7137.5
355920.8
23453.0
Blue139
4537.8
174139.5
389019.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181006080140160111139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#4
53.00.2
52.352.5
Auto15.5
Teleop30.1
End7.1
red by 13.5
39.52.1
38.941.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
Second
71
#3
37.50.2
36.136.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
blue by 0.3
45
#12
37.82.1
36.138.2
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End8.8
Third
3559
#28
20.80.2
19.719.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
red by 1.6
3890
#18
19.22.1
20.722.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned