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Red131
745438.3
548444.9
172032.2
Blue61
317642.2
448529.3
290921.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116102608014016013161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.91.3
41.442.6
Auto15.9
Teleop21.2
End7.8
red by 2.7
3176
#11
42.22.4
44.141.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.4
End5.9
Second
38.31.3
34.735.9
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End8.4
red by 9.0
4485
#14
29.32.4
30.528.1
Auto10.2
Teleop11.4
End7.8
Third
1720
#13
32.21.3
30.832.1
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End8.2
red by 11.0
2909
#16
21.22.4
22.420.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed