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Red116
44733.0
7137.5
82947.8
Blue135
317642.2
394729.7
174139.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811780100140160180116135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
47.80.1
47.847.8
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
red by 5.6
3176
#11
42.20.4
42.242.6
Auto10.6
Teleop25.4
End5.9
Second
71
#3
37.50.1
37.637.5
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
blue by 2.0
39.50.4
39.539.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
Third
447
#17
33.00.1
33.033.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End6.6
red by 3.3
3947
#20
29.70.4
29.730.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End5.9