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Red133
458024.3
548444.9
765742.2
Blue137
518843.9
155527.3
150147.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171256080100140160180200133137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.4
44.645.0
Auto15.9
Teleop21.2
End7.8
blue by 3.0
47.80.5
47.047.4
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
Second
42.20.4
41.942.3
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End6.2
blue by 1.8
43.90.5
43.143.5
Auto11.1
Teleop23.0
End10.0
Third
4580
#23
24.30.4
24.124.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End6.1
blue by 2.9
1555
#24
27.30.5
26.426.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End7.1