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Red138
44733.0
7137.5
82947.8
Blue132
394050.5
389019.2
23453.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12413250100150200138132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
47.80.5
47.447.8
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
blue by 5.2
234
#4
53.00.0
53.053.0
Auto15.5
Teleop30.1
End7.1
Second
71
#3
37.50.5
37.137.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
blue by 13.0
50.50.0
50.650.5
Auto13.9
Teleop28.0
End8.1
Third
447
#17
33.00.5
32.633.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End6.6
red by 13.8
3890
#18
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7