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Red82
448529.3
172032.2
13539.3
Blue126
317642.2
394729.7
174139.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071205015020082126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#19
39.30.4
39.739.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End5.6
blue by 2.9
3176
#11
42.20.2
42.042.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.4
End5.9
Second
1720
#13
32.20.4
32.632.2
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End8.2
blue by 7.3
39.50.2
39.339.5
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
Third
4485
#14
29.30.4
29.829.3
Auto10.2
Teleop11.4
End7.8
blue by 0.4
3947
#20
29.70.2
29.529.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End5.9