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Red141
150147.8
155527.3
518843.9
Blue115
82947.8
7137.5
44733.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212580100140160180200141115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.6
46.447.0
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
red by 0.1
829
#15
47.80.0
47.447.4
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
Second
43.90.6
42.543.1
Auto11.1
Teleop23.0
End10.0
red by 6.4
71
#3
37.50.0
37.237.1
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
Third
1555
#24
27.30.6
25.826.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End7.1
blue by 5.7
447
#17
33.00.0
32.632.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End6.6