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Red128
458024.3
548444.9
765742.2
Blue112
349442.3
745438.3
856421.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117106406080140160128112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.4
43.844.2
Auto15.9
Teleop21.2
End7.8
red by 2.5
3494
#10
42.30.3
41.842.0
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End8.3
Second
42.20.4
41.141.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End6.2
red by 3.9
38.30.3
37.738.0
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End8.4
Third
4580
#23
24.30.4
23.323.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End6.1
red by 2.6
8564
#26
21.80.3
21.221.5
Auto6.9
Teleop7.9
End6.9