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Red131
150147.8
155527.3
518843.9
Blue88
761740.1
4537.8
672122.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12310640608014016018013188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.4
46.046.4
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
red by 7.7
7617
#21
40.10.3
40.640.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
Second
43.90.4
42.142.5
Auto11.1
Teleop23.0
End10.0
red by 6.1
45
#12
37.80.3
38.338.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End8.8
Third
1555
#24
27.30.4
25.425.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End7.1
red by 5.2
6721
#22
22.10.3
22.522.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End3.3