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Red134
44733.0
7137.5
82947.8
Blue97
317642.2
394729.7
174139.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241198010014016013497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
47.80.4
47.047.4
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
red by 5.6
3176
#11
42.20.6
42.541.9
Auto10.6
Teleop25.4
End5.9
Second
71
#3
37.50.4
36.837.2
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
blue by 2.0
39.50.6
39.839.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
Third
447
#17
33.00.4
32.232.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End6.6
red by 3.3
3947
#20
29.70.6
30.029.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End5.9