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Red126
23453.0
389019.2
394050.5
Blue116
349442.3
745438.3
856421.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135104406080120160180200126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#4
53.00.0
53.153.0
Auto15.5
Teleop30.1
End7.1
red by 10.7
3494
#10
42.30.3
42.042.3
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End8.3
Second
50.50.0
50.650.6
Auto13.9
Teleop28.0
End8.1
red by 12.2
38.30.3
38.038.3
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End8.4
Third
3890
#18
19.20.0
19.319.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7
blue by 2.6
8564
#26
21.80.3
21.521.8
Auto6.9
Teleop7.9
End6.9