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Red115
672112.3
394045.4
46140.9
Blue87
155517.8
91036.7
102439.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049705015020011587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.3
44.845.1
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End10.6
red by 6.3
39.20.2
38.638.3
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End4.4
Second
461
#12
40.90.3
40.340.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.2
End6.6
red by 4.2
910
#2
36.70.2
36.135.9
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
Third
6721
#22
12.30.3
11.611.9
Auto7.6
Teleop1.6
End3.0
blue by 5.5
1555
#20
17.80.2
17.216.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End6.0