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Red92
102439.2
91036.7
155517.8
Blue89
317647.4
150140.0
695621.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94122501502009289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.0
38.638.6
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End4.4
blue by 8.2
47.40.6
48.047.4
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End6.0
Second
910
#2
36.70.0
36.136.1
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
blue by 3.3
40.00.6
40.640.0
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End8.2
Third
1555
#20
17.80.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End6.0
blue by 3.6
6956
#19
21.30.6
21.921.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.1
End4.3