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Red88
32823.8
7125.3
548429.5
Blue117
317647.4
150140.0
695621.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771245010015020088117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#24
29.50.2
29.329.5
Auto9.9
Teleop14.2
End5.5
blue by 17.9
47.40.2
47.948.0
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End6.0
Second
71
#9
25.30.2
25.125.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End8.6
blue by 14.7
40.00.2
40.440.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End8.2
Third
328
#18
23.80.2
23.623.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End7.8
red by 2.5
6956
#19
21.30.2
21.821.9
Auto7.9
Teleop9.1
End4.3