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Red122
672112.3
394045.4
46140.9
Blue76
290914.9
91036.7
102439.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039540608012014016012276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.4
44.444.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End10.6
red by 6.3
39.20.3
38.938.6
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End4.4
Second
461
#12
40.90.4
39.940.3
Auto10.2
Teleop24.2
End6.6
red by 4.2
910
#2
36.70.3
36.436.1
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
Third
6721
#22
12.30.4
11.311.6
Auto7.6
Teleop1.6
End3.0
blue by 2.6
2909
#17
14.90.3
15.214.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End3.8