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Red97
386513.8
745754.5
82942.5
Blue156
501044.4
172026.2
102447.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512305010015020025097156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.8
52.551.7
Auto12.5
Teleop33.4
End8.7
red by 7.2
47.40.6
47.948.5
Auto12.1
Teleop29.3
End6.0
Second
829
#19
42.50.8
40.840.0
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End6.9
blue by 1.9
44.40.6
41.542.1
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.1
Third
3865
#29
13.80.8
15.815.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End4.7
blue by 12.4
1720
#16
26.20.6
25.426.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned