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Red114
649831.5
286734.6
811628.7
Blue44
719810.9
13536.7
448522.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948905015011444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.8
30.832.6
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End7.8
blue by 2.1
135
#10
36.72.7
37.735.1
Auto9.7
Teleop20.9
End6.1
Second
6498
#30
31.51.8
31.433.2
Auto12.0
Teleop15.8
End3.7
red by 9.3
4485
#26
22.23.5
28.725.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Third
8116
#20
28.71.8
25.126.8
Auto8.9
Teleop14.0
End5.8
red by 17.8
7198
#31
10.93.5
17.313.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed