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Red116
29248.8
32826.1
695629.7
Blue93
219731.7
427243.2
498225.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410640608012014016018011693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#8
48.81.2
47.048.3
Auto13.7
Teleop26.6
End8.4
red by 5.6
4272
#14
43.20.8
42.341.6
Auto13.1
Teleop24.8
End5.1
Second
6956
#27
29.71.2
28.029.3
Auto9.8
Teleop12.9
End7.1
blue by 2.0
2197
#15
31.70.8
31.230.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Third
328
#25
26.11.2
22.523.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End7.3
red by 0.8
4982
#24
25.30.8
25.925.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed