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Red144
874224.5
540233.0
46156.5
Blue123
164631.7
317643.3
492636.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104115406080140160180144123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#3
56.52.7
52.555.1
Auto15.3
Teleop33.6
End7.6
red by 13.3
43.31.1
45.246.3
Auto9.6
Teleop25.9
End7.8
Second
5402
#23
33.02.7
27.630.2
Auto7.8
Teleop16.8
End8.3
blue by 3.7
36.61.1
32.433.5
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End6.4
Third
8742
#13
24.52.7
19.221.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 7.3
1646
#12
31.71.1
28.930.0
Auto12.6
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned