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Red113
44728.7
102447.4
811628.7
Blue91
13536.7
427243.2
386513.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149740608014016011391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.2
48.048.2
Auto12.1
Teleop29.3
End6.0
red by 4.2
4272
#14
43.20.2
43.042.8
Auto13.1
Teleop24.8
End5.1
Second
447
#21
28.70.2
28.428.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End9.2
blue by 8.0
135
#10
36.70.2
36.536.4
Auto9.7
Teleop20.9
End6.1
Third
8116
#20
28.70.2
28.528.7
Auto8.9
Teleop14.0
End5.8
red by 14.9
3865
#29
13.80.2
13.913.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed