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Red55
317643.3
448522.2
695629.7
Blue122
492636.6
82942.5
219731.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107111608010012014055122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.33.0
46.343.2
Auto9.6
Teleop25.9
End7.8
red by 0.7
829
#19
42.51.2
40.041.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End6.9
Second
6956
#27
29.73.0
29.326.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.9
End7.1
blue by 6.9
36.61.2
33.534.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End6.4
Third
4485
#26
22.23.7
25.221.5
Auto7.7
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 9.5
2197
#15
31.71.2
30.531.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned