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Red94
286734.6
82942.5
874224.5
Blue114
13536.7
492636.6
498225.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107104020030040094114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#19
42.50.5
42.141.6
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End6.9
red by 5.8
135
#10
36.70.0
36.436.4
Auto9.7
Teleop20.9
End6.1
Second
34.60.5
34.233.7
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End7.8
blue by 2.0
36.60.0
36.336.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End6.4
Third
8742
#13
24.50.5
24.023.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 0.9
4982
#24
25.30.0
25.025.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.0
End6.1