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Red142
393622.3
501044.4
427243.2
Blue130
101838.7
174137.3
174720.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11898050150200142130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.7
44.044.8
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.1
red by 5.7
1018
#11
38.70.5
38.238.7
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End7.6
Second
4272
#14
43.20.7
42.843.6
Auto13.1
Teleop24.8
End5.1
red by 5.9
37.30.5
36.837.2
Auto12.7
Teleop17.9
End6.8
Third
3936
#32
22.30.7
21.622.3
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End1.9
red by 2.3
1747
#17
20.00.5
19.520.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End5.6