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Red214
291075.7
192360.8
205678.0
Blue210
11865.7
169064.9
414365.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214192100150250214210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#35
78.00.2
77.878.0
Auto18.4
Teleop46.0
End8.4
red by 12.1
65.90.5
65.265.7
Auto17.0
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
75.70.2
75.675.8
Auto16.5
Teleop42.8
End10.9
red by 10.0
118
#26
65.70.5
65.165.6
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End10.2
Third
1923
#32
60.80.2
60.660.8
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
blue by 4.1
1690
#31
64.90.5
64.264.7
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3