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Red203
353862.5
69567.3
19559.9
Blue219
11865.7
169064.9
414365.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1861950100300400500203219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#8
67.30.4
66.967.3
Auto14.1
Teleop39.7
End9.0
red by 1.4
65.90.8
64.565.2
Auto17.0
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
3538
#19
62.50.4
62.162.5
Auto14.4
Teleop36.7
End9.5
blue by 3.2
118
#26
65.71.1
63.965.1
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End10.2
Third
195
#50
59.90.4
59.559.9
Auto12.4
Teleop38.5
End7.1
blue by 5.0
1690
#31
64.90.8
63.464.2
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3