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Red190
414365.9
169064.9
11865.7
Blue156
248164.1
170663.8
467867.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192197140160180220240190156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.0
64.464.5
Auto17.0
Teleop36.4
End10.2
blue by 2.1
4678
#59
67.90.8
68.767.9
Auto18.5
Teleop38.6
End6.3
Second
118
#26
65.70.0
63.963.9
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End10.2
red by 1.6
64.10.8
64.864.1
Auto15.4
Teleop37.7
End9.0
Third
1690
#31
64.90.0
63.463.4
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3
red by 1.0
63.80.8
64.663.8
Auto14.5
Teleop40.8
End8.0