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Red197
291075.7
192360.8
205678.0
Blue157
19559.9
69567.3
353862.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216184100150200250300197157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#35
78.00.2
78.077.8
Auto18.4
Teleop46.0
End8.4
red by 10.7
695
#8
67.30.6
67.566.9
Auto14.1
Teleop39.7
End9.0
Second
75.70.2
75.875.6
Auto16.5
Teleop42.8
End10.9
red by 13.2
3538
#19
62.50.6
62.862.1
Auto14.4
Teleop36.7
End9.5
Third
1923
#32
60.80.2
60.860.6
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
red by 0.9
195
#50
59.90.6
60.159.5
Auto12.4
Teleop38.5
End7.1