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Red185
174654.1
414365.9
761745.4
Blue142
93066.9
317548.0
205678.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163210100150200250300185142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.4
64.265.6
Auto17.0
Teleop36.4
End10.2
blue by 12.1
2056
#35
78.03.6
81.978.4
Auto18.4
Teleop46.0
End8.4
Second
1746
#42
54.11.4
52.754.1
Auto11.2
Teleop35.5
End6.6
blue by 12.8
930
#10
66.93.6
70.266.7
Auto15.3
Teleop40.2
End8.3
Third
7617
#63
45.41.4
44.145.4
Auto13.4
Teleop26.2
End5.9
blue by 2.6
3175
#39
48.03.6
51.648.0
Auto14.9
Teleop24.6
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned99%Activation oddsMissed