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Red212
173163.6
11865.7
246873.1
Blue194
69567.3
721160.0
192360.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201189100150250300212194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#12
73.11.4
72.273.6
Auto17.8
Teleop43.8
End10.3
red by 5.8
695
#8
67.31.0
65.766.7
Auto14.1
Teleop39.7
End9.0
Second
118
#26
65.73.4
61.164.5
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End10.2
red by 4.9
1923
#32
60.81.0
60.361.3
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
Third
1731
#24
63.61.4
62.163.6
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.0
red by 3.6
7211
#61
60.01.0
59.060.0
Auto16.6
Teleop33.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned