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Red187
789061.3
253968.3
38459.4
Blue178
394054.7
18060.0
467867.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191183140160200220240187178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.30.4
68.468.8
Auto14.2
Teleop43.3
End9.0
red by 0.3
4678
#59
67.90.3
67.768.0
Auto18.5
Teleop38.6
End6.3
Second
7890
#14
61.30.4
60.961.3
Auto16.2
Teleop33.7
End8.9
red by 1.4
180
#9
60.00.3
60.761.0
Auto16.4
Teleop32.8
End9.9
Third
384
#22
59.40.4
59.059.4
Auto14.6
Teleop35.3
End6.9
red by 4.8
3940
#53
54.70.3
54.454.7
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned