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Red182
548446.9
170663.8
198766.2
Blue123
102446.0
156150.3
164633.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19413250100150250182123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#33
66.20.0
66.766.7
Auto17.3
Teleop37.8
End9.2
red by 15.8
1561
#51
50.30.6
51.050.4
Auto13.8
Teleop29.7
End8.0
Second
63.80.0
63.963.9
Auto14.5
Teleop40.8
End8.0
red by 17.8
1024
#66
46.00.6
46.646.0
Auto14.7
Teleop24.1
End6.5
Third
5484
#29
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto15.0
Teleop24.0
End8.4
red by 13.1
1646
#69
33.80.6
34.433.8
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed