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Red202
291075.7
192360.8
205678.0
Blue174
546062.0
156150.3
18060.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219179100150200250202174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#35
78.00.5
78.477.9
Auto18.4
Teleop46.0
End8.4
red by 15.9
5460
#60
62.00.0
63.163.1
Auto14.1
Teleop36.9
End8.6
Second
75.70.5
76.275.7
Auto16.5
Teleop42.8
End10.9
red by 15.8
180
#9
60.00.0
61.061.0
Auto16.4
Teleop32.8
End9.9
Third
1923
#32
60.80.5
61.360.8
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
red by 10.4
1561
#51
50.30.0
50.450.3
Auto13.8
Teleop29.7
End8.0