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Red206
402865.6
11176.4
93066.9
Blue149
11865.7
169064.9
414365.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20719450100150250300206149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#5
76.40.2
76.176.3
Auto18.6
Teleop43.6
End10.9
red by 10.5
65.90.9
65.664.7
Auto17.0
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
930
#10
66.90.2
66.766.8
Auto15.3
Teleop40.2
End8.3
red by 1.2
118
#26
65.70.9
64.563.7
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End10.2
Third
4028
#44
65.60.2
65.465.6
Auto17.5
Teleop38.3
End7.6
red by 0.8
1690
#31
64.90.9
64.663.7
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3