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Red181
253968.3
198766.2
246873.1
Blue206
19559.9
69567.3
353862.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212183100150200250181206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#12
73.10.5
73.673.1
Auto17.8
Teleop43.8
End10.3
red by 5.8
695
#8
67.30.5
66.767.2
Auto14.1
Teleop39.7
End9.0
Second
68.30.5
68.868.3
Auto14.2
Teleop43.3
End9.0
red by 5.7
3538
#19
62.50.5
61.962.4
Auto14.4
Teleop36.7
End9.5
Third
1987
#33
66.20.5
66.766.2
Auto17.3
Teleop37.8
End9.2
red by 6.3
195
#50
59.90.5
59.359.8
Auto12.4
Teleop38.5
End7.1