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Red130
156150.3
173250.8
276766.0
Blue154
394054.7
23445.0
721160.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18215680100120140200220240130154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#45
66.02.5
65.663.1
Auto17.5
Teleop36.9
End9.9
red by 5.9
7211
#61
60.00.3
59.259.5
Auto16.6
Teleop33.0
End8.6
Second
1732
#58
50.82.5
53.250.8
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End7.1
blue by 3.9
3940
#53
54.70.3
52.853.1
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End7.7
Third
1561
#51
50.32.5
50.347.9
Auto13.8
Teleop29.7
End8.0
red by 5.3
234
#30
45.00.3
45.045.3
Auto13.2
Teleop23.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned