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Red127
164633.8
761745.4
548446.9
Blue181
248164.1
571255.0
18060.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131176050100150200250127181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#29
46.90.1
48.548.4
Auto15.0
Teleop24.0
End8.4
blue by 17.2
64.10.7
60.160.8
Auto15.4
Teleop37.7
End9.0
Second
7617
#63
45.40.1
46.145.9
Auto13.4
Teleop26.2
End5.9
blue by 14.5
180
#9
60.00.7
55.656.3
Auto16.4
Teleop32.8
End9.9
Third
1646
#69
33.80.1
34.134.0
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.3
blue by 21.2
5712
#41
55.00.7
49.249.9
Auto13.3
Teleop31.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsMissed92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned