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Red123
81850.6
46951.4
403960.6
Blue117
169064.9
317641.8
22643.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175164050100150200250300123117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#43
60.64.1
64.760.6
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End9.4
blue by 4.2
1690
#31
64.92.6
68.265.6
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3
Second
469
#64
51.44.1
53.949.8
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End7.9
red by 7.9
226
#68
43.52.6
44.141.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
Third
818
#36
50.64.1
50.246.1
Auto13.4
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 8.8
3176
#56
41.82.6
45.743.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsMissed95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsMissed