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Red165
402865.6
174654.1
46161.9
Blue176
170663.8
38459.4
318458.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191177100150200250165176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#44
65.61.0
69.868.9
Auto17.5
Teleop38.3
End7.6
red by 1.8
63.80.5
57.958.5
Auto14.5
Teleop40.8
End8.0
Second
461
#21
61.91.0
62.161.1
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End8.9
red by 2.5
384
#22
59.40.5
59.760.2
Auto14.6
Teleop35.3
End6.9
Third
1746
#42
54.11.0
54.353.3
Auto11.2
Teleop35.5
End6.6
blue by 4.1
3184
#25
58.10.5
59.159.6
Auto14.5
Teleop32.1
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned