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Red133
192360.8
789061.3
317641.8
Blue168
23445.0
24556.3
93066.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17418150100150200250133168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#14
61.32.4
58.756.3
Auto16.2
Teleop33.7
End8.9
blue by 5.6
930
#10
66.90.4
70.970.5
Auto15.3
Teleop40.2
End8.3
Second
1923
#32
60.82.4
63.060.6
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
red by 4.5
245
#7
56.30.4
58.958.5
Auto15.3
Teleop31.0
End7.9
Third
3176
#56
41.82.4
43.140.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End3.7
blue by 3.2
234
#30
45.00.4
45.344.9
Auto13.2
Teleop23.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned