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Red142
501051.4
173163.6
261455.0
Blue177
365553.7
18060.0
291075.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16819680100120140160180220240142177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#24
63.61.6
66.364.7
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.0
blue by 12.2
75.70.7
74.874.2
Auto16.5
Teleop42.8
End10.9
Second
2614
#37
55.01.6
48.046.3
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End7.8
blue by 4.9
180
#9
60.00.7
56.355.7
Auto16.4
Teleop32.8
End9.9
Third
5010
#52
51.41.6
51.349.6
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End7.8
blue by 2.3
3655
#49
53.70.7
61.460.7
Auto10.5
Teleop33.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned