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Red198
364162.1
81850.6
3368.2
Blue186
414365.9
46161.9
58757.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621856080100120140200220198186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#13
68.22.5
60.963.4
Auto17.1
Teleop37.9
End10.9
red by 2.3
65.90.6
64.364.9
Auto17.0
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
3641
#17
62.12.5
54.356.8
Auto13.0
Teleop38.9
End8.2
red by 0.2
461
#21
61.90.6
61.161.7
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End8.9
Third
818
#36
50.62.5
46.148.5
Auto13.4
Teleop27.6
End7.9
blue by 7.0
587
#38
57.60.6
56.356.9
Auto14.4
Teleop33.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned