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Red190
460762.8
174654.1
427256.5
Blue165
931256.9
427059.7
198766.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181190100150200250190165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#15
62.80.4
63.763.2
Auto15.0
Teleop36.1
End9.3
blue by 3.4
1987
#33
66.22.1
67.365.3
Auto17.3
Teleop37.8
End9.2
Second
4272
#40
56.50.4
59.659.1
Auto14.6
Teleop32.3
End7.3
blue by 3.2
4270
#27
59.72.1
58.556.4
Auto13.8
Teleop34.2
End10.7
Third
1746
#42
54.10.4
54.654.2
Auto11.2
Teleop35.5
End6.6
blue by 2.8
9312
#34
56.92.1
58.056.0
Auto11.5
Teleop34.8
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned