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Red195
205678.0
604557.1
721160.0
Blue196
5160.3
335761.6
169064.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198188100150250195196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#35
78.00.5
83.283.7
Auto18.4
Teleop46.0
End8.4
red by 13.1
1690
#31
64.90.8
66.967.7
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3
Second
7211
#61
60.00.5
59.259.7
Auto16.6
Teleop33.0
End8.6
blue by 1.6
3357
#20
61.60.8
60.661.4
Auto13.7
Teleop33.9
End11.0
Third
6045
#57
57.10.5
56.256.8
Auto12.1
Teleop36.6
End6.8
blue by 3.3
51
#54
60.30.8
61.462.2
Auto14.0
Teleop34.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned