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Red130
403960.6
394054.7
368362.5
Blue152
102351.3
46161.9
761745.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182163100150200250130152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#18
62.53.0
62.759.8
Auto14.5
Teleop37.9
End7.6
red by 0.6
461
#21
61.90.6
61.761.1
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End8.9
Second
4039
#43
60.63.0
60.557.5
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End9.4
red by 9.3
1023
#47
51.30.6
48.447.8
Auto12.6
Teleop29.7
End10.0
Third
3940
#53
54.73.0
54.351.4
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End7.7
red by 9.2
7617
#63
45.40.6
46.345.7
Auto13.4
Teleop26.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned