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Red138
173250.8
58757.6
164633.8
Blue178
246873.1
317548.0
22643.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14916704006008001,000138178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#38
57.60.2
58.858.6
Auto14.4
Teleop33.1
End7.9
blue by 15.5
2468
#12
73.11.5
67.469.0
Auto17.8
Teleop43.8
End10.3
Second
1732
#58
50.80.2
51.351.0
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End7.1
red by 2.7
3175
#39
48.01.5
47.448.9
Auto14.9
Teleop24.6
End8.5
Third
1646
#69
33.80.2
35.835.5
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.3
blue by 9.7
226
#68
43.51.5
40.041.6
Auto10.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned